Predictors of Divorce

As a couples therapist, delving into the intricate tapestry of relationships is both a privilege and a challenge. Each couple brings a unique set of experiences, communication styles, and emotional dynamics to the table. Understanding the predictors of divorce is essential to guiding couples towards healthier, more fulfilling partnerships. In this journey, the work of renowned psychologist John Gottman provides invaluable insights, offering a roadmap to navigate the complexities of relationship dynamics.

Gottman’s research, spanning decades and encompassing thousands of couples, has unearthed key predictors of divorce that serve as signposts for therapists and couples alike. One of his ground breaking contributions is the identification of the “Four Horsemen of the “Apocalypse”—communication patterns that, when left unchecked, can erode the foundation of a relationship.

The first horseman, criticism, manifests when partners attack each other’s character or personality. As a therapist, I often observe how criticism can escalate conflicts, leading to feelings of defensiveness and resentment. By helping couples shift from criticism to expressing their needs and feelings in a constructive manner, we lay the groundwork for healthier communication patterns.

Contempt, the second horseman, is perhaps the most corrosive of all. It breeds a sense of superiority and disdain towards the partner, poisoning the emotional climate of the relationship. Through interventions aimed at fostering empathy and understanding, couples can cultivate a culture of mutual respect and appreciation, effectively counteracting contemptuous behaviours.

Defensiveness, the third horseman, emerges as a natural response to feeling attacked or misunderstood. However, it often serves to perpetuate the conflict rather than resolve it. As a couples therapist, I empower partners to take responsibility for their actions and engage in productive dialogue, fostering a sense of accountability and collaboration.

Stonewalling, the fourth horseman, occurs when one partner withdraws from the interaction, shutting down emotionally. It creates a sense of emotional disconnection and isolation, further exacerbating relational distress. By teaching couples effective communication and self-soothing techniques, we equip them with the tools to navigate conflicts constructively and stay emotionally engaged.

In addition to the Four Horsemen, Gottman identified other predictors of divorce, such as the presence of perpetual conflicts and a lack of positive interactions. Perpetual conflicts are recurring issues that remain unresolved, often stemming from fundamental differences in values or needs. As a therapist, I guide couples in exploring underlying issues and finding compromises that honour both partners’ perspectives.

Moreover, the absence of positive interactions, characterised by expressions of affection, appreciation, and humour, can signify a deeper disconnect within the relationship. By encouraging couples to cultivate daily rituals of connection and express gratitude towards each other, we nurture the emotional bond that sustains long-term partnerships.

While Gottman’s research provides valuable insights into the predictors of divorce, it’s essential to approach each couple with empathy, curiosity, and cultural sensitivity. Every relationship is unique, shaped by individual experiences, traumas, and aspirations. As a couples therapist, my role is to create a safe space for couples to explore their relational dynamics, identify patterns that undermine their connection, and collaboratively work towards healing and growth.

In conclusion, understanding the predictors of divorce, according to John Gottman, offers a roadmap for couples to navigate the complexities of their relationship dynamics. By addressing the Four Horsemen of the Apocalypse and fostering positive interactions, couples can cultivate healthier communication patterns, strengthen their emotional bond, and build a resilient foundation for a thriving partnership. As a couples therapist, I am honoured to accompany couples on this transformative journey towards deeper intimacy and connection. Brian can be contacted on

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